|by James L.
[Note: This is a re-formatted manuscript that was originally published in
On the Horizon, 1992, 1(2), 2-3. It is posted here with permission
from Jossey Bass
The 1990-2010 period represents a rapidly changing demographic situation for
institutional mission, clientele, faculty, access, and equity.
- One-half of the population growth in the 80s was in three states: Florida,
Texas, and California.
- Non-traditional households grew twice as fast in the 80s as the traditional
married couple households.
- Youth in the "Boomlet" age group will increasingly be at risk of school
failure-in large part from the stresses of poverty in single parent homes-and
may not be candidates for higher education.
- Students in higher education are becoming much more ethnically diverse,
while the faculty are not.
- Over the 1990 2010 period, states will become more unlike each other in
terms of demographic characteristics.
- The aging of populations in heartland states may lead to an erosion of
public support for higher education in those states.
- State colleges, independent colleges, and proprietary and vocational
institutions are most at risk during the 90s.
Harold Hodgkinson offered these suggestions for meeting the needs reflected
by demographic changes.
- Focus on institutions demonstrating special skills in working with poor and
- Send very clear signals that encourage minority participation in higher
- Revise the current basic delivery mechanism to make the system more
functional for a diverse student body;
- Enlarge the pool of talented faculty, administrative and board leaders from
minority and poverty backgrounds.
Hodgkinson, H. (1991, March). Testimony to US Congress on the
Reauthorization of the Higher Education Act.