Higher Education in the 21st Century

Presented: 23 June 1997

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Table of Contents

Higher Education in the 21st Century

Environmental Scanning

Strategic Intelligence

Change Drivers

Older Americans to Experience Fastest Growth

Distribution of US. Population


The Enrollment Pipeline

An Aging Clientele for Higher Education

Crisis in College Costs

Crisis in College Costs (continued)





Percent of Firms Downsizing by Business Category

46% of the “Fortune 500” Disappeared

By the year 2000 at least 44% of all workers will be in data services.

From 1980 to 1994, the U.S. contingent workforce increased 57%.

Fading are the 9-5 workdays, lifetime jobs...

Job-hopping will become the norm.

Diplomas decline as degrees of separation in the workforce.


What Lies Ahead in Technology

"You open it and turn the pages."

The cost of computing power drops roughly 30% every year.

Sega Saturn runs on a higher-performance processor than the original 1976 Cray supercomputer.

Today’s average consumers wear more computing power on their wrists than existed in the entire world before 1961.

In 1991, companies spent more money on computing and communications gear than the combined monies spent on industrial, mining, farm, and construction equipment.

Today, 65% of all workers use some type of information technology in their jobs.

International Connectivity

U.S. Domain Growth

I very much doubt that we’re the only family on the block without a Web page.

New Technologies

The Rising Use of IT in Instruction

Web Pages




What do these signals imply?


Author: James L. Morrison

Email: morrison@unc.edu

Home Page: On the Horizon

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